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10 Oct 2015
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  • 08 Oct 2015
    The stable outlook on German banks reflects the implementation of an effective bank resolution regime in Germany, which removes uncertainty around government support for ailing institutions. Moreover, German banks are benefiting from solid operating conditions, with credit profiles increasingly characterised by high quality loans, adequate capital buffers and reduced reliance on confidence-sensitive capital market funding...
  • 09 Oct 2015
    Brazil’s weak economy is hurting bank asset quality, and a decline in global prices for the country’s commodities exports, increased political risks, a far-reaching corruption probe and government efforts to cut spending will preclude a robust recovery before the end of 2016. At the same time, Brazilian banks’ capitalization remains adequate, funding profiles are strong and liquidity buffers have grown, which will help them weather this difficult environment...
  • 08 Oct 2015
    The US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services announced that the risk-corridor program under the Affordable Care Act would not pay health insurers the full $2.87 billion they are due for 2014. The program will have only $362 million available to fund this liability, and as a result, insurers will be paid only 12.6% of the amount owed to them, assuming the CMS is successful in collecting the full $362 million it is due...
  • 07 Oct 2015
    Recent events have demonstrated the scale of the task confronting the authorities in managing the policy trade-offs involved in structural rebalancing. While the economy appears to be gradually re-orientating away from state-led, capital-intensive growth towards a consumer and services-driven model, the evidence of recent months is that the Chinese government is likely to prefer a slower pace of structural reform, while adopting a range of stimulus measures to prop up short-term growth…
  • 06 Oct 2015
    The creditworthiness of most Brazilian issuers will weaken as political turmoil, the country’s deteriorating fiscal position and the ongoing investigation into the Lava Jato corruption scandal at Petrobras depress the economy. As a result, softer demand, rising borrowing costs, climbing delinquencies and lower investment will primarily weigh on high-yield issuers, infrastructure companies and the securitization market in the short-term...
Reform and Rebalancing

  • China: Reform and Rebalancing

    The Chinese economy is embarking on a path of rebalancing, defined by a reorientation away from the export and investment-led development model towards a model where consumption gradually becomes a more important engine of growth. This process will be characterized by economic restructuring, policy reform, market liberalization, and credit deceleration, posing both opportunities and challenges for China's credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's rebalancing story unfolds.
  • Euro Area – The Road to Sustainable Growth

    Irrespective of the euro area's emergence from the acute phase of the region's debt crisis in the second half of 2012, economic growth - despite its recent acceleration - has been subdued, reflecting continued large stocks of public debt, restrictive financing conditions and pre-existing long-term structural constraints (including poor demographic prospects). Given these obstacles, as well as the still incomplete nature of the euro area's economic union, the growth model of the European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face challenges. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Infrastructure Renewal and Investment

    Global infrastructure financing needs are vast, estimated to be trillions of dollars annually for the foreseeable future. As governments around the world look to secure resources necessary to renew and expand their energy, transportation and other infrastructure assets, they will increasingly look to capital markets and private sector finance to ensure sufficient investment in these vital projects. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.
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