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04 Jul 2015
20150704
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  • 02 Jul 2015
    Further to yesterday’s downgrade of Greece’s government bond rating to Caa3 and our ongoing review for further downgrade, we have today also placed the Caa3 ratings of five Greek banks on review for downgrade. The key driver of the one-notch sovereign downgrade is the large gap between the conditions that Greece’s official creditors require in return for continued support, and the capacity and willingness of Greece’s institutions to deliver further meaningful economic and fiscal reforms. Our review for further downgrade will assess the outcome of Greece’s upcoming referendum on the recent bail-out program. A “No” vote would likely increase the risk of exit from the euro area and impose significant losses on Greece’s private sector creditors...
  • 01 Jul 2015
    If the price of emitting CO2 went up, most European unregulated utilities would benefit as power prices are more likely to rise more than the CO2 associated costs. This is because unregulated utilities have less carbon intensity in their power generation than those plants that set the price. In general the price of emitting carbon is expected to remain low and power prices weak through 2020, according to our overview of the European power markets...
  • 29 Jun 2015
    Brazil’s unemployment rose in May to 6.7% from 4.3% in December and inflation-adjusted average wages have fallen 7.9% since November, with both trends accelerating in the past month. The deterioration in the labor market since late 2014 ends a decade of cumulative gains in employment and will lead to an increase in bad loans at Brazilian retail lenders...
  • 29 Jun 2015
    Two key developments this past weekend have heightened the uncertainty surrounding the resolution of the Greek crisis and are further damaging financial stability and economic conditions in Greece. First, the Prime Minister called for a referendum on the bailout terms offered by Greece's official creditors, whereupon the Eurogroup refused to extend Greece's support programme beyond 30 June. Secondly, the European Central Bank decided not to increase emergency liquidity assistance to the Bank of Greece. As a result, the Greek government has imposed capital controls to contain bank deposit outflows, and all Greek banks will remain closed this week...
  • 25 Jun 2015
    The US Supreme Court ruling on the Affordable Care Act validates the availability of premium subsidies for individuals who purchased insurance policies on the federal health care exchange, removes uncertainty about policies sold in 2015, and serves to stabilize the individual health insurance market for future years. However, the act will still pose challenges to insurers and regulators as a result of recent experience and of provisions of the act not yet implemented...
China
Reform and Rebalancing
 


  • China: Reform and Rebalancing

    The Chinese economy is embarking on a path of rebalancing, defined by a reorientation away from the export and investment-led development model towards a model where consumption gradually becomes a more important engine of growth. This process will be characterized by economic restructuring, policy reform, market liberalization, and credit deceleration, posing both opportunities and challenges for China's credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's rebalancing story unfolds.
  • Euro Area – The Road to Sustainable Growth

    Irrespective of the euro area's emergence from the acute phase of the region's debt crisis in the second half of 2012, economic growth - despite its recent acceleration - has been subdued, reflecting continued large stocks of public debt, restrictive financing conditions and pre-existing long-term structural constraints (including poor demographic prospects). Given these obstacles, as well as the still incomplete nature of the euro area's economic union, the growth model of the European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face challenges. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Infrastructure Renewal and Investment

    Global infrastructure financing needs are vast, estimated to be trillions of dollars annually for the foreseeable future. As governments around the world look to secure resources necessary to renew and expand their energy, transportation and other infrastructure assets, they will increasingly look to capital markets and private sector finance to ensure sufficient investment in these vital projects. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.
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